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Our future climate

As the century unfolds, the Bay of Plenty climate will change.

As temperatures rise, our wind, rainfall and seasonal patterns will shift and we will see more extreme events and unpredictability in our weather.

We’re already seeing the impacts of our changing climate, from new pests taking up residence to increasing coastal erosion to more drought like conditions.

The more that we do to cut carbon emissions and build resilience now, the better off we will be in the future.

Use the slider in the middle to see what different levels of emissions could mean for the Bay of Plenty climate in the future.

What we can expect

 

In 2019 we commissioned NIWA to analyse climate change projections and impacts for the Bay of Plenty Region. NIWA's technical report provides up to date information on changes we’re likely to see in our climate over the 21st century. Watch the short video to learn about the climate change implications projected for Bay of Plenty.

Interactive mapping tool
Alternatively, check out our interactive mapping tool which enables you to look at a number of climate change projections for Bay of Plenty. You can zoom into any area to see how Bay of Plenty is likely to be impacted by a changing climate and how these changes are affected by efforts to reduce carbon emissions.

Vertical land movement
Vertical land movement has a direct impact on local sea level along coastlines. In New Zealand some areas are going up and some parts are sinking. The NZ SeaRise interactive tool enables you to understand what vertical land movement means for sea level rise on your coastline.